Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
INS
0 - 4
LIM
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
42%
24%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
INS
4 - 1
LAR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LIN
6 - 0
INS
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
ARD
4 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
LAR
5 - 1
ARD
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ARD
2 - 1
POR
30%
25%
46%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
ARD
1 - 1
LIS
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 2
ARD
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |