Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
POR
4 - 1
INS
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
INS
1 - 1
CLI
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 0
INS
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
INS
0 - 1
LIS
53%
23%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
ARD
0 - 0
OMA
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
GLE
3 - 0
ARD
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
ARD
1 - 0
LIS
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ARD
0 - 1
COL
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
ARD
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |