Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
ARC
1 - 1
INS
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
LIS
0 - 2
INS
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
INS
3 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 1
INS
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
ARD
1 - 0
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
ARD
0 - 2
LAR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 3
ARD
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
ARD
2 - 2
ARC
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
LIM
2 - 2
ARD
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |