Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
ARC
3 - 0
INS
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
LIS
2 - 1
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
INS
3 - 1
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 3
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
ARD
3 - 1
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
BAN
0 - 2
ARD
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
ARD
1 - 1
LAR
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
LIM
0 - 2
ARD
50%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 5
ARD
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |