Institute vs Annagh United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
9º
55
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
6 - 2
INS
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
NEY
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
5 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
INS
1 - 1
ARD
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Annagh United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AUN
0 - 1
WAR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 0
AUN
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 1
DER
70%
18%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
AUN
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
AUN
23%
23%
55%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |