Institute vs Annagh United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
9º
55
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
INS
0 - 2
DER
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
INS
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
INS
2 - 1
KNO
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 1
INS
65%
19%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Annagh United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AUN
2 - 0
KNO
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 1
AUN
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
AUN
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
AUN
4 - 2
DUN
58%
20%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 1
AUN
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |