Innstrandens vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
13º
11º
74
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Innstrandens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ELV
3 - 0
IFC
86%
9%
5%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KON
2 - 0
IFC
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 2
FFK
23%
19%
59%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FBG
2 - 2
IFC
41%
21%
39%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 1
ILU
41%
21%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HON
4 - 1
KON
87%
9%
4%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 5
HON
6%
14%
80%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HON
5 - 0
MJO
91%
7%
2%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SIK
0 - 5
HON
9%
16%
75%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HON
1 - 1
HAR
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |