Inhulets vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
74.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
15º
14º
72
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inhulets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
RYV
3 - 0
INH
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
INH
0 - 0
HKR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
INH
0 - 2
SKD
15%
23%
63%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
PFC
0 - 0
INH
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
INH
1 - 0
RYV
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 1
SHA
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
MIN
85%
12%
4%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 3
SHA
13%
20%
68%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DYN
1 - 1
SHA
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 0
LVI
82%
14%
5%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |