Ingolstadt U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
4º
3º
8
6º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ING
1 - 0
SJR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 3
ING
10%
16%
74%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
ING
11%
16%
73%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ING
2 - 1
AUG
78%
14%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ING
3 - 0
KAI
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
MUN
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
5 - 2
GRE
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
ING
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 3
GRE
66%
18%
15%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 3
BYM
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |