Ingolstadt 04 II vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ISM
0 - 2
ING
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ING
3 - 1
FRO
79%
14%
8%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 2
ING
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
ING
2 - 2
NUR
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ROS
2 - 0
ING
34%
26%
41%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
186
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
MEM
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 2
BAY
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AUG
3 - 1
GRE
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
WUR
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |