Ingolstadt 04 II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
ING
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ING
0 - 6
GCZ
9%
16%
76%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ING
1 - 1
RIJ
10%
18%
73%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ING
0 - 1
FCL
7%
14%
79%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
ING
4 - 1
VRG
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAY
1 - 3
AUG
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
186
0 - 1
BAY
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 3
BAY
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
HEI
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |