Inglaterra U21 vs Polonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inglaterra U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
ENG
3 - 0
IRL
77%
16%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
ENG
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 0
BGR
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
IRL
0 - 3
ENG
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ENG
1 - 0
MNE
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
POL
0 - 1
RUS
39%
23%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
POL
0 - 2
ESP
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
POL
1 - 0
KAZ
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
RUS
1 - 0
POL
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |