England U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
11%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.8%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
2.4%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 4
ENG
8%
15%
77%
|
81 | 20 | 61 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
FIN
1 - 1
ENG
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
ENG
1 - 0
MDA
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
ENG
6 - 0
SCO
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
ISR
1 - 0
ENG
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 0
LTU
69%
19%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
LTU
0 - 1
FIN
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 1
LTU
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
FIN
2 - 2
LTU
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 1
SMR
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |