Inglaterra U21 vs Irlanda del Norte U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.5%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.3%
2.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inglaterra U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
SRB
0 - 1
ENG
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 0
SRB
74%
16%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 0
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
AZE
0 - 2
ENG
10%
19%
71%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ENG
4 - 0
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Irlanda del Norte U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
DEN
3 - 0
NIR
86%
10%
5%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
NIR
1 - 3
MKD
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
HUN
3 - 2
NIR
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 0
NIR
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NIR
0 - 2
SRB
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |