England U19 vs Northern Ireland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2006 |
ENG
1 - 2
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
ENG
1 - 3
FRA
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2005 |
SYM
1 - 3
ENG
47%
23%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
ENG
3 - 2
NOR
45%
24%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
ARM
1 - 1
ENG
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2006 |
SRB
1 - 4
NIR
82%
13%
6%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
NIR
2 - 1
MDA
48%
23%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
ITA
0 - 0
NIR
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
IRL
2 - 1
NIR
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
GER
2 - 1
NIR
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |