England U19 vs Croatia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
SUI
0 - 1
ENG
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 1
MNE
80%
13%
6%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
ENG
5 - 0
SVN
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 1
ESP
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
SUI
2 - 3
ENG
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Croatia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 0
BIH
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
GEO
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 2
AUT
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 0
NED
44%
24%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 4
CRO
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |