Infesta vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Infesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
3 - 1
INF
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
INF
1 - 4
OSL
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
INF
3 - 0
MIR
18%
24%
58%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +3 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 2
INF
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
INF
1 - 5
VIZ
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAF
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FAF
1 - 1
RIB
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FAF
1 - 0
OSL
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 1
FAF
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 1
PAD
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |