WC Qual. Asia First Round Final
Global 3-6
India vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
LBN
4 - 1
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
IND
1 - 0
SYR
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
IND
3 - 0
KGZ
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
IND
2 - 3
SYR
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
IND
1 - 0
BGD
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
LBN
4 - 1
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
NPL
1 - 1
LBN
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
JOR
3 - 0
LBN
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
LBN
0 - 1
SYR
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
LBN
0 - 0
SDN
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |