Independiente CF vs Chapela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
65.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MOL
0 - 1
IND
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
IND
0 - 3
COY
10%
15%
75%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
OIE
1 - 0
IND
54%
20%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chapela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PBC
1 - 0
TEI
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PBC
2 - 3
DES
77%
14%
10%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MOL
0 - 4
PBC
26%
21%
54%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
OIE
3 - 2
PBC
22%
18%
60%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PBC
0 - 2
ARE
75%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |