Independiente CF vs Nespereira CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
47%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
IND
0 - 3
BAL
23%
20%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
IND
2 - 3
DES
38%
22%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TEI
3 - 2
IND
70%
16%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
IND
0 - 4
PBC
17%
17%
66%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MOL
0 - 1
IND
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Nespereira CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
NES
0 - 2
TEI
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PBC
3 - 0
NES
72%
15%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NES
1 - 2
MOL
49%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
COY
4 - 0
NES
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NES
1 - 3
OIE
39%
20%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |