Independiente Villa Obrera vs Leonardo Murialdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
IND
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 4
ATE
22%
22%
56%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Leonardo Murialdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
DES
16%
24%
60%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 2
LEO
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |