Independiente Villa Obrera vs Juventud Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
CAP
58%
21%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
IND
33%
24%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
TRI
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
IND
4 - 1
SPE
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LCY
1 - 0
IND
45%
23%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
SPE
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
JUV
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
DEF
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 3
TRI
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |