Independiente Villa Obrera vs Juventud Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
IND
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DES
3 - 0
IND
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
IND
3 - 3
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
IND
4 - 1
ATL
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +4 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
IND
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
DES
29%
29%
42%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 3
JUV
26%
25%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 0
LEO
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATE
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |