Independiente Villa Obrera vs Defensores de Boca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
IND
2 - 1
ACJ
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SPE
4 - 1
IND
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
SPO
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
SPE
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 2
IND
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 0
SLR
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ACJ
1 - 1
DEF
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 0
CAP
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ACJ
1 - 1
DEF
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 2
IND
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |