Independiente Villa Obrera vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
IND
71%
17%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
LEO
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
IND
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 4
ATE
22%
22%
56%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DES
2 - 2
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
DES
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
DES
2 - 1
SPO
82%
13%
6%
|
61 | 23 | 38 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
DES
0 - 0
RSA
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 1
DES
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |