Independiente Villa Obrera vs Atlético Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
IND
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
IND
32%
23%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ACJ
1 - 2
IND
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
SPE
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 0
ACJ
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 2
CAP
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 1
SPO
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAP
58%
21%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 0
SLR
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |