Independiente Villa Obrera vs Atlético Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
IND
33%
24%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
TRI
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
IND
4 - 1
SPE
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LCY
1 - 0
IND
45%
23%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
ACJ
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
JUV
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |