Independente SE vs Olímpico SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
53.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
INS
0 - 6
EST
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
OSE
4 - 0
INS
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
INS
1 - 5
BOQ
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
3 - 0
INS
59%
22%
20%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BOQ
3 - 1
INS
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OSE
5 - 1
REC
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
BOQ
3 - 1
OSE
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
OSE
4 - 0
INS
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
4 - 0
OSE
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OSE
2 - 0
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |