Independente SE vs Botafogo ASF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
OSE
3 - 0
INS
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
INS
0 - 0
BOQ
36%
22%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
SDJ
2 - 2
INS
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
INS
3 - 2
EST
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
EST
0 - 0
INS
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 4
DOR
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
ABS
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LAG
5 - 0
ABS
78%
15%
8%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 5
LAG
11%
18%
71%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 2
EST
10%
16%
75%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | -1 |