Independente SE vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OSE
0 - 0
INS
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
INS
1 - 0
BOQ
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BOQ
3 - 0
INS
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
INS
4 - 1
OSE
22%
22%
55%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
2 - 3
INS
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BOQ
5 - 1
AMA
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 5
SDJ
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SDJ
0 - 1
AMA
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
BOQ
49%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
2 - 3
INS
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |