Independente SE vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
62.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SEF
0 - 3
INS
42%
22%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
GUA
28%
22%
51%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AMP
3 - 0
INS
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
BOQ
0 - 2
INS
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
INS
2 - 2
AMA
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AFP
1 - 1
ADB
55%
23%
23%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 5
AFP
18%
19%
64%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AFP
1 - 0
BOC
45%
25%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 2
AFP
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AFP
4 - 0
SDJ
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |