Independente SE vs Riachao EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
REC
1 - 1
INS
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
INS
0 - 3
AMP
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 2
INS
29%
22%
50%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
BOQ
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
OSE
3 - 0
INS
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Riachao EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
REC
0 - 0
BOQ
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOQ
0 - 2
REC
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
REC
1 - 1
INS
20%
19%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AMP
1 - 0
REC
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
REC
2 - 0
AMA
18%
18%
64%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +2 |