Independente SE vs Riachao EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REC
1 - 3
INS
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
INS
1 - 1
BOQ
24%
20%
56%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AMP
2 - 2
INS
17%
18%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
OSE
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
INS
0 - 6
EST
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Riachao EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REC
1 - 3
INS
25%
20%
55%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BOQ
1 - 0
REC
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
REC
2 - 2
AMP
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OSE
5 - 1
REC
66%
19%
16%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
REC
5 - 1
AMP
53%
22%
26%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |