Independente SE vs Riachao EC analysis

Independente SE Riachao EC
18 ELO 12
-0.2% Tilt -0.8%
46065º General ELO ranking 47454º
1258º Country ELO ranking 1300º
ELO win probability
59.4%
Independente SE
19.7%
Draw
20.9%
Riachao EC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
Independente SE
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.9%
Win probability
Riachao EC
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Independente SE
-47%
+58%
Riachao EC

ELO progression

Independente SE
Riachao EC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independente SE
Independente SE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
REC
Riachao EC
1 - 3
Independente SE
INS
25%
20%
55%
17 14 3 0
16 Sep. 2023
INS
Independente SE
1 - 1
Boquinhense
BOQ
24%
20%
56%
17 24 7 0
10 Sep. 2023
AMP
América de Pedrinhas
2 - 2
Independente SE
INS
17%
18%
66%
17 11 6 0
07 Sep. 2023
INS
Independente SE
0 - 2
Olímpico SE
OSE
25%
21%
54%
18 26 8 -1
07 Oct. 2022
INS
Independente SE
0 - 6
Estanciano
EST
23%
21%
56%
19 26 7 -1

Matches

Riachao EC
Riachao EC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
REC
Riachao EC
1 - 3
Independente SE
INS
25%
20%
55%
14 17 3 0
09 Sep. 2023
BOQ
Boquinhense
1 - 0
Riachao EC
REC
65%
19%
16%
14 23 9 0
06 Sep. 2023
REC
Riachao EC
2 - 2
América de Pedrinhas
AMP
54%
21%
25%
14 11 3 0
02 Sep. 2023
OSE
Olímpico SE
5 - 1
Riachao EC
REC
66%
19%
16%
15 26 11 -1
02 Sep. 2022
REC
Riachao EC
5 - 1
América de Pedrinhas
AMP
53%
22%
26%
14 11 3 +1