Indep. Rivadavia vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 2
IRV
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
IRV
1 - 1
MOR
51%
28%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
IRV
42%
28%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
IRV
0 - 1
MIT
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
TEM
2 - 0
IRV
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
MOR
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 3
SAR
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
MIT
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TEM
2 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
INS
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |