Independiente II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 2
IND
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
TAL
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
IND
0 - 3
BOC
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 0
IND
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
BRC
0 - 1
IND
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 1
NOB
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GLP
1 - 0
VEL
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 0
ARG
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
VEL
29%
25%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 2
VEL
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |