Independiente II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GOC
0 - 2
IND
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
LAN
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 2
IND
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
HUR
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
LAN
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 0
BOC
31%
27%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
TAL
1 - 1
VEL
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 1
ATL
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
VEL
4 - 0
TEM
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 2
SAR
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |