Independiente II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
SMS
78%
14%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
IND
3 - 1
BAN
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
IND
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
RIV
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IND
2 - 2
SLO
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
HUR
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NOB
1 - 0
VEL
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 3
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 2
VEL
26%
26%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
VEL
3 - 1
ATR
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |