Independiente II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
NOB
4 - 0
IND
52%
24%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GLP
0 - 0
IND
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
IND
2 - 0
TIG
49%
25%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
EST
4 - 1
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
NOB
33%
26%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
GOC
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
PLA
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
SAR
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
CCS
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |