Independiente II vs Rosario Central II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GOC
3 - 1
IND
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
BEL
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
RAC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
VEL
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
ALD
2 - 1
IND
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Rosario Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
NOB
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 2
ROC
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 0
ARG
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 1
ROC
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 0
GLP
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |