Independiente II vs River Plate II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BEL
2 - 2
IND
48%
23%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
PAT
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
IND
8%
15%
77%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
VEL
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GOC
0 - 2
IND
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TAL
1 - 2
RIV
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
RIV
5 - 0
ATL
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
TIG
3 - 2
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
ARG
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SMS
0 - 0
RIV
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |