Independiente II vs Quilmes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
IND
17%
21%
63%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
RAC
59%
21%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
VEL
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
EST
0 - 3
IND
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
ATR
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Quilmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 2
SLO
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
TIG
3 - 1
QUI
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DYJ
4 - 3
QUI
51%
22%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
GOC
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
4 - 1
QUI
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |