Independiente II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
5 - 4
IND
14%
20%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GOC
3 - 1
IND
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -3 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
BEL
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 2
ROC
12%
19%
70%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
GOC
1 - 0
PAT
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 1
BEL
16%
21%
63%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
PAT
60%
20%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 3
PAT
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +2 |