Independiente II vs Lanús II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
DYJ
5 - 2
IND
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
GOC
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IND
2 - 3
RAC
45%
25%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 2
IND
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
CCS
61%
22%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 0
TIG
63%
20%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
LAN
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
LAN
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
NOB
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 2
LAN
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |