Independiente II vs Lanús II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
GLP
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
TIG
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 0
IND
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
DYJ
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
GOC
1 - 0
IND
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
TIG
4 - 1
LAN
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 3
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 1
SLO
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
DYJ
0 - 1
LAN
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 0
GOC
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |