Independiente II vs Defensa y Justicia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
GOC
3 - 1
IND
22%
24%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 2
IND
36%
26%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
PLA
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
CCS
0 - 0
IND
25%
25%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
IND
3 - 1
CAU
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
DYJ
1 - 1
TIG
34%
27%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
DYJ
0 - 2
RST
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
DYJ
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
DYJ
2 - 0
NOB
29%
26%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 0
DYJ
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |