Independiente II vs Defensa y Justicia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
IND
4 - 0
RIV
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 2
IND
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
IND
3 - 0
NCR
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
HUR
0 - 1
IND
26%
23%
52%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
IND
2 - 3
EST
73%
16%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
DYJ
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DYJ
3 - 1
QUI
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 3
DYJ
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DYJ
3 - 1
ARS
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DYJ
2 - 3
NOB
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |