Independiente II vs Defensa y Justicia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
GOC
1 - 0
IND
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
ROC
48%
24%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
IND
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 2
IND
31%
23%
46%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
IND
4 - 1
QUI
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 1
DYJ
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
DYJ
2 - 3
SLO
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
GLP
1 - 0
DYJ
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GOC
2 - 0
DYJ
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
DYJ
0 - 1
ROC
30%
24%
47%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |