Independiente II vs Deportivo Riestra II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 0
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
IND
1 - 2
SMS
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
LAN
2 - 2
IND
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
IND
1 - 2
GOC
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
IND
2 - 3
RAC
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Riestra II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
RST
0 - 0
SLO
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
ACC
2 - 0
RST
55%
22%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
RST
1 - 1
PLA
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
VEL
3 - 0
RST
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
RST
1 - 1
RIV
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |