Independiente II vs Atl. Tucumán II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 3
IND
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
IND
0 - 1
TIG
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
IND
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -3 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
IND
5 - 3
GOC
74%
15%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
IND
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
HUR
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NOB
5 - 2
ATL
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 2
ATL
51%
23%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ATR
37%
23%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NOB
2 - 0
ATL
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |