Torneo Federal B Promotion Play Off Last 16
Global 1-1
Independiente Neuquén vs Racing Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
DRO
2 - 1
INN
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
INN
3 - 1
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CDS
1 - 1
INN
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
INN
1 - 1
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CIP
1 - 1
INN
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2007 |
BVI
2 - 0
RAO
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 3
RAO
34%
25%
42%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
RAO
1 - 0
ALV
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CDC
1 - 2
RAO
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
RAO
2 - 1
DVP
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |